The weather office got it wrong...
Thursday, 02 Feb 12 Cloudy -1°C / 30°F
The Canadian Weather Office have said that they got their 3 month forecast for the early winter wrong. They predicted a colder than usual winter based on La Nina activity but the jet stream did its own thing and so western Canada got a warmer than usual early winter. The web site for the Weather Office does point out that 3 month predictions have a high chance of being wrong, hardly better than an informed guess. However that has not stopped a lot of mud slinging at the expense of the forecasters by the ignorant and discourteous.
The Weather Office has now changed their way of predicting temperatures and precipitation based on a 30 year average and other factors. They give 3 maps each for precipitation and for temperature, giving probability of above normal, normal, and below normal. This is splendidly confusing to my mind but it seems, if I have got it right, that we will probably have slightly colder than normal temperatures and slightly more precipitation for the next 3 months. As the weekly weather forecast seems to change from day to day, it is not surprising that longer than that is a guess.
Norms for the time of year are -6C/0C we are about 3 degrees warmer at the moment but heading for a colder sunnier few days.
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